Research Wins.
Opinions Don't.
Research before opinion. Numbers over narratives.
Every unit. On the ledger.
How every selection is researched.
Six factors are assessed on every play — player role, expected opportunity, injuries, team news, matchup data, historical trends, market movement and pricing value. A selection is only released when multiple independent indicators align.
Information
Line-ups, team news, injuries, late changes, travel, rest and conditions are checked from official sources before any market is considered.
Role & Opportunity
We quantify what the player is actually being asked to do tonight — minutes, usage, rotation and structural role — not what they averaged last season.
Statistical Analysis
Historical trends, recent form and hit rates are modelled per sport and per market so the projected line is grounded in data, not narrative.
Matchup
Opposition tendencies, positional matchup, pace, venue and head-to-head history are layered in to adjust the projection for tonight's context.
Market
Every projection is compared to the available price. If the market is already efficient on that line, the selection is not released — value has to be there.
Final Validation
A selection is only released when multiple independent indicators — role, data, matchup and market — all point to the same conclusion.
Inside Premium
See exactly how premium selections are delivered. Every selection includes a recommended unit stake, while featured plays include detailed research explaining the reasoning behind the selection.
This is one of the toughest matchups in the league for a player in Noble's role. Adelaide allow the second-fewest disposals to designated kickers and the fewest uncontested possessions, taking away the easy marks and switch kicks that Noble relies on to accumulate possessions. When teams can shut down that outlet, his disposal numbers tend to drop significantly.
The history backs it up as well. Noble has gone under this line in 9 of his 10 career games against Adelaide, with the Crows consistently limiting his impact. We've also seen similar matchup profiles affect him this season, managing just 16 disposals against Fremantle and 17 against North Melbourne, two sides that also do a strong job restricting uncontested ball movement. With another difficult role matchup here, we're happy to back the under.
Understanding Units
Units help every member follow the same staking strategy, regardless of bankroll size. Learn how to set your unit size in three simple steps.
Choose Your Bankroll
Set Your Unit Size
A unit should generally represent around 1% of your total bankroll. This keeps each bet in proportion to your overall funds.
Follow the Recommended Stake
Every premium selection includes a recommended unit stake. Our standard selection is released at 2 units.
Situational or higher-variance opportunities.
Our standard premium selection. This is the most common stake released across all sports.
Rare maximum-confidence opportunities where multiple factors strongly align.
Why Use Units Instead of Dollar Amounts?
Using units allows every member to follow the same staking strategy regardless of bankroll size. Whether your bankroll is $200 or $20,000, the percentage of your bankroll being risked remains consistent. This promotes disciplined bankroll management and helps remove emotion from betting decisions over the long term.
A different standard.
Each play is published with the data, role assessment and market rationale behind it. Members can review the thinking, not just follow a tip.
Every official premium play is recorded in the performance tracker. Winning and losing periods are both published.
The framework is built for long-term consistency. Short-term variance is expected — the process does not change with the last result.
Built on discipline.
The principles that define how 1percentpunt operates.
Transparency Comes First
Every official selection is included in monthly performance.
Winning and losing periods are both published.
Research Before Every Selection
Player roles, injuries, team news, historical trends and matchup data are considered.
Market pricing is assessed before any selection is released.
Disciplined Unit Staking
Every selection includes a recommended unit stake.
This encourages consistent bankroll management rather than emotional decisions.
Long-Term Mindset
The objective is long-term consistency through discipline.
We do not chase short-term wins or set unrealistic expectations.
Priority Member Support
Premium members receive priority assistance.
Membership, account and general enquiries are handled when support is required.
Choose your access.
Same framework. Same picks. Only the term changes.
- Every premium selection via Telegram
- Detailed analysis on featured selections
- Unit-based staking guidance
- Priority member support
- Complete monthly performance reporting
Cancel anytime. No lock-in.
By subscribing, you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy.
Perfect for members looking for long-term consistency.
- Every premium selection via Telegram
- Detailed analysis on featured selections
- Unit-based staking guidance
- Priority member support
- Complete monthly performance reporting
Cancel anytime. No lock-in.
By subscribing, you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy.
- Every premium selection via Telegram
- Detailed analysis on featured selections
- Unit-based staking guidance
- Priority member support
- Complete monthly performance reporting
Cancel anytime. No lock-in.
By subscribing, you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy.
Every membership includes the same research, selections and reporting.
Research before opinion.
Numbers over narratives.
Premium selections, released before the event, tracked in units, and published in full — winning and losing periods alike.